Pre-tourney Rankings
Stephen F. Austin
Southland
2018-19
Overall
Predictive Rating-8.5#302
Expected Predictive Rating-7.9#289
Pace71.3#110
Improvement-4.5#330

Offense
Total Offense-5.8#314
First Shot-5.9#324
After Offensive Rebound+0.1#163
Layup/Dunks+0.3#171
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#220
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.5#312
Freethrows-0.9#241
Improvement-0.1#189

Defense
Total Defense-2.7#251
First Shot-1.3#212
After Offensive Rebounds-1.4#304
Layups/Dunks-0.1#176
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.9#2
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.5#331
Freethrows-0.6#226
Improvement-4.5#340
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1.0 - 0.01.0 - 0.0
Quad 1b0.0 - 0.01.0 - 0.0
Quad 20.0 - 3.01.0 - 3.0
Quad 31.0 - 5.02.0 - 8.0
Quad 48.0 - 8.010.0 - 16.0


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 13, 2018 66   @ Miami (FL) L 58-96 5%     0 - 1 -27.5 -9.4 -18.7
  Nov 20, 2018 277   Marist W 64-60 54%     1 - 1 -5.4 -9.2 +4.0
  Nov 30, 2018 81   San Francisco L 58-76 9%     1 - 2 -12.0 -12.7 +0.4
  Dec 01, 2018 296   Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 66-51 48%     2 - 2 +7.0 -8.4 +15.9
  Dec 07, 2018 144   Louisiana Tech L 93-96 OT 24%     2 - 3 -4.2 +11.7 -15.6
  Dec 15, 2018 145   @ Louisiana Monroe L 58-74 12%     2 - 4 -11.6 -17.0 +5.3
  Dec 18, 2018 40   @ Baylor W 59-58 3%     3 - 4 +14.8 -7.6 +22.5
  Dec 30, 2018 55   Alabama L 69-79 9%     3 - 5 -3.9 -1.3 -2.3
  Jan 02, 2019 237   SE Louisiana W 65-60 45%     4 - 5 1 - 0 -2.2 -9.2 +7.1
  Jan 09, 2019 306   @ Nicholls St. L 73-78 41%     4 - 6 1 - 1 -11.2 -7.4 -3.6
  Jan 12, 2019 337   Northwestern St. L 59-61 78%     4 - 7 1 - 2 -18.6 -18.6 +0.0
  Jan 16, 2019 253   @ New Orleans L 61-68 28%     4 - 8 1 - 3 -9.7 -12.6 +3.1
  Jan 19, 2019 344   @ Incarnate Word W 74-71 64%     5 - 8 2 - 3 -9.3 -4.2 -4.9
  Jan 23, 2019 157   Abilene Christian W 61-60 28%     6 - 8 3 - 3 -1.4 -14.5 +13.0
  Jan 30, 2019 303   Central Arkansas W 105-99 OT 61%     7 - 8 4 - 3 -5.3 +7.5 -13.8
  Feb 02, 2019 177   @ Sam Houston St. L 72-94 16%     7 - 9 4 - 4 -20.1 -4.3 -15.0
  Feb 06, 2019 284   @ Houston Baptist W 79-77 33%     8 - 9 5 - 4 -2.1 -2.7 +0.5
  Feb 09, 2019 224   Lamar L 67-82 42%     8 - 10 5 - 5 -21.3 -0.8 -22.6
  Feb 13, 2019 331   McNeese St. W 67-57 72%     9 - 10 6 - 5 -4.6 -14.0 +9.4
  Feb 16, 2019 337   @ Northwestern St. L 72-87 60%     9 - 11 6 - 6 -26.0 -7.4 -17.9
  Feb 20, 2019 288   TX A&M Corpus Christi L 55-65 55%     9 - 12 6 - 7 -19.9 -17.1 -3.3
  Feb 23, 2019 344   Incarnate Word W 81-54 81%     10 - 12 7 - 7 +9.1 -3.6 +12.9
  Feb 27, 2019 303   @ Central Arkansas L 74-92 39%     10 - 13 7 - 8 -23.8 -9.8 -12.3
  Mar 02, 2019 224   @ Lamar L 79-81 23%     10 - 14 7 - 9 -2.8 +7.3 -10.1
  Mar 05, 2019 157   @ Abilene Christian L 58-72 14%     10 - 15 7 - 10 -10.9 -5.8 -6.6
  Mar 09, 2019 177   Sam Houston St. L 57-68 32%     10 - 16 7 - 11 -14.7 -7.5 -9.4
Projected Record 10.0 - 16.0 7.0 - 11.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southland Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 100.0 100.0 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
Total 100.0 Total



Southland Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11 100.0% 100.0
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%